Tuesday 20 February 2018

CAPITALSTARS FREE AGRI COMMODITY MARKET NEWS & LEVELS - 21 FEB 2018

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The NCDEX Turmeric Apr futures is slipped by -2.11% in the last trading to close at 6964 level till Tuesday closing at India's National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX). Moderate weakness was noted for Turmeric even as prices found some immediate support at the 7000 mark. Traders expect export and domestic demand to rise in coming weeks, but new crop arrivals have kept uptrend limited for now. Markets talks suggest that a significant drop in sowing in regions across Erode due to a drought like situation last year. As per trader estimates, production is expected to fall to 1-3 lakh bags from the normal 15-20 lakh bags seen on an average. This lower production will be to some extent compensated by a higher production expectation from AP and Maharashtra.
TURMERIC (APR) TECHNICAL VIEW:
TREND: BEARISH
RESISTANCE 2: 7210
RESISTANCE 1: 7090
SUPPORT 1: 6870
SUPPORT 2: 6770
STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

The NCDEX Soyabean Feb futures surged up by 1.22% in the last trading to close at 3810 level till Tuesday closing. Soybean gave back morning gains mainly due to profit taking. Improving spot demand for soymeal and frequent reports of lower crop size of India and further drop in Argentine crop production outlook shall be supporting the oilseed in coming weeks. March soybean in the currently week is expected to find strong support region between 3710-20 levels. Domestic fundamentals are firm therefore expect soybean to maintain the bullish trend this month as well. Although US production has been estimated higher but as per experts the U.S. soybean’s production surplus seems insufficient to offset the global demand patterns (A bullish inference overall). For the current month March soybean is unlikely to break the 3650- 3700 support region comfortably, and except marginal dips prices are most likely to move towards new highs gradually.
SOYABEAN (MARCH) TECHNICAL VIEW:
TREND: BEARISH
RESISTANCE 2: 3850
RESISTANCE 1: 3830
SUPPORT 1 : 3770
SUPPORT 2: 3740
STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

The NCDEX Guarseed Feb futures is surged up by 0.78% in the last trading to close at 4418 level till Tuesday closing. Prices failed to hold onto the higher levels as profit booking set in. However, firmness in Crude oil rates and slight firmness in Dollar vs Rupee are likely to support market sentiments. Traders anticipate the export demand to start rising at these lower levels in coming weeks as long term trend remains Bullish. Guarseed is facing strong resistance at 5000 as Gum trades near the 10000 mark. Medium term trend remains up due to rising concerns on production front from recent crop losses, due to excess rains in Rajasthan, just few months back. Lowering inventories will be another bullish factor. Increased exports of guar gum during last year have been encouraging due to increasing rig count in the US.
GUARSEED (MARCH) TECHNICAL VIEW:
TREND: BEARISH
RESISTANCE 2: 4490
RESISTANCE : 4450
SUPPORT 1: 4350
SUPPORT 2 : 4290
STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE

The NCDEX Jeera March futures is slipped by -0.84% in the last trading to close at 15395 level on Tuesday. Rising arrivals of the new crop amidst better crop expectations kept pressure on Jeera market sentiments as traders wait for some more dips before initiating demand for the fresh crop. Recent reports of apprehensions of crop damage in parts of Gujarat from climatic fluctuations may not be strong to support prices for now as overall production is expected to be higher this year. Even as sowing is expected to be higher with shifting of other crop towards Jeera due to high prevailing rates, delayed sowing in Gujarat (due to warmer climate) may have some adverse impact on the crop productivity and its arrivals. Export demand from China rises and from Gulf countries too has shifted to India as geo-political tensions in Turkey and Syria adversely affected production and exports from there.
JEERA (MARCH) TECHNICAL VIEW:
TREND: BEARISH
RESISTANCE 2: 15800
RESISTANCE 1: 15600
SUPPORT 1: 15200
SUPPORT 2: 15000
STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE


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